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European economy

European economy, In Europe 10th October 2025

ECB minutes suggest cycle of rate cuts over, despite continuing impact of US tariffs

Bankinter | ECB minutes from the 10/11 September meeting. Conclusions: Monetary policy is appropriate to respond to the inflation environment in the EMU and the ECB is in a comfortable position to wait for more visibility on fiscal and trade policies. Everything points to the cycle of cuts having ended for now, even if US tariffs continue to impact growth and prices: ‘the current level of interest rates is sufficiently…

European economy, In Europe 7th October 2025

Eurozone retail sales grow 1% year-on-year in August, compared to 2.1% previously

Bankinter | Retail sales in the Eurozone in August were lower than expected: up 1.0% year-on-year compared to the expected 1.3% and the previous 2.1% (revised from 2.2%). Noteworthy is the decline in France (which recorded a drop of 1.4% against a 1.2% gain previously) and Germany (up 1.8% against 2.9% previously). Analysis team’s view: Despite the weakness of the data, EMU retail sales have fluctuated within a stable year-on-year…

European economy, In Europe 3rd October 2025

Eurozone unemployment rate rises to 6.3% in August, aggregate increase of 11,000 workers

Intermoney | The unemployment rate rose by one tenth of a percentage point in August to 6.3% across the Eurozone as a whole. We could have guessed this once we saw the data, which was somewhat unfavourable and showed an increase of 14,000 in the number of unemployed. At the aggregate level for the eurozone, this increase was 11,000, offset by other more moderate readings. However, we continue to see…

European economy, In Europe 19th September 2025

ECB forecasts lower wage pressures for coming months

Bankinter | The ECB’s Wage Tracker shows an expected wage increase of 1.7% for the first half of 2026 against 2.1% in the second half of 2025 and 4.3% in the first half of 2025. Analysis team’s view: Good news for inflation in Europe. The ECB’s Wage Tracker is a tool developed by the ECB and the national central banks of the Eurosystem to monitor wage pressures in the euro…

European economy, In Europe 4th September 2025

Despite 1/10 of percentage point rise compared to previous month, Eurozone inflation remains stable for six months close to ECB’s 2% target

Bankinter | Eurozone CPI was 2.1% year-on-year in August, while core CPI remained at 2.3% for the fourth consecutive month. The data was in line with expectations and reflects inflation virtually on target. Analysis team’s view: Although it rose by one tenth of a percentage point compared to the previous month, the important thing is that inflation has been stable for six months at levels close to the ECB’s target…

European economy, In Europe 29th August 2025

Car sales in Europe up 7.4% year-on-year in July compared to 7.3% drop in June; 0.7% fall for year as a whole

Bankinter | Car sales increased in July by 7.4% (year-on-year) compared to a drop of 7.3% in June. For the year as a whole, sales fell by 0.7%. Of particular note is the drop in sales of combustion vehicles (15.2% diesel and 12.0% petrol), while electric vehicles led the way (electric up by 39.1%, non-plug-in hybrids by 14.3% and plug-in hybrids by 56.9%). Analysis team’s view: Slightly positive news reflecting…

European economy 26th August 2025

Germany’s GDP grows 0.2% year-on-year in 2Q25 compared to 0.3% in previous quarter, and below consensus estimate of 0.4%

Link Securities | According to the final reading of the data released by the German Federal Statistical Office, Destatis, Germany’s gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.3% in 2Q25 compared to the previous quarter, more than the 0.1% contraction initially estimated, which was in line with the consensus of FactSet analysts. In 1Q25, Germany’s GDP had grown by 0.3% in quarterly terms. The decline in 2Q25 is the sharpest quarterly…

European economy 25th August 2025

Iberdrola completes foundations for substation of East Anglia 3 offshore wind farm in North Sea

Alphavalue / Divacons | The Spanish utility company, through its British subsidiary Scottish Power, has taken a decisive step forward in the commissioning of its East Anglia 3 offshore wind farm, located in the North Sea off the coast of Suffolk (United Kingdom). The company has completed the installation of the foundations for the project’s offshore substation. In other news, Iberdrola has appointed Juan Luis Pérez Martín, a lieutenant general…

European economy, In Europe 21st August 2025

Eurozone annual inflation remains at 2%

CdM | The annual inflation rate in the eurozone was 2% in July 2025, stable compared to June. A year earlier, the rate was 2.6%. Annual inflation in the European Union was 2.4% in July 2025, up from 2.3% in June. A year earlier, the rate was 2.8%. These figures were published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. The lowest annual rates were recorded in Cyprus (0.1%),…

European economy, In Europe 20th August 2025

Eurozone current account balance shows €36 billion surplus, up €4 billion on previous month

Link Securities | According to data published on Tuesday by the European Central Bank (ECB), the Eurozone current account balance recorded a surplus of €36 billion in June, an increase of €4 billion compared to the previous month. In June, surpluses were recorded in goods (€23 billion), services (€16 billion) and primary income (€14 billion). In seasonally adjusted terms, the current account surplus rose to €35.8 billion in June, from…

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