In the World

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Debt issuance linked to investment in AI could reach $200,000 M by 2026, say Pictet

Bond yields have been rising for five years and the era of abundant capital is gradually giving way to one of greater competition for capital, in a new investment cycle driven by artificial intelligence (AI), with more persistent inflationary uncertainty, higher nominal growth and larger fiscal deficits. Analysis by Lauréline Renaud-Chatelain For more than four decades, the global economy operated in an environment of falling interest rates and abundant capital,…


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Maritime traffic through Strait of Hormuz continues to improve: six oil tankers a day passing through, compared with two last week

Report by Morgan Stanley Martijn Rats (Morgan Stanley analyst) highlights that maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz (SoH) continues to improve this week. Outbound energy tanker transits are averaging 6 per day, compared with 2 per day observed the previous week. Inbound transits have also increased from 3 to 6 per day on average this week, although they remain well below pre-conflict levels , when both inbound and outbound…


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Iran announces agreement with Oman on proposed route through Strait of Hormuz

Report by Link Securities According to Bloomberg, Iran has announced an agreement with Oman on a proposed route through the Strait of Hormuz which could reopen the sea passage to shipping. Media sources indicate that under the 60-day agreement ships would enter via the Iranian side and exit off the coast of Oman in coordination with Iran. The agreement would provide for the United States and Iran to resume negotiations…


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Trump confirms resumption of negotiations with Iran

Reported by Consejeros Editorial Team US President Donald Trump said this weekend that he had decided to call off a new attack on Iran at the request of Gulf allies, as “the foundations for an agreement” had been laid. Trump has avoided setting a deadline for reaching a hypothetical agreement and is opting for a diplomatic solution rather than the military escalation of recent weeks. The aim is to fully…


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“El Niño” threatens to trigger waves of inflation due to rising commodity prices

By David Rees The climatic phenomenon known as El Niño — a natural and periodic warming of the Pacific Ocean — threatens to raise global temperatures in the coming months and trigger extreme weather events. According to forecasts by the World Meteorological Organisation, it is expected to arrive between June and August, with a 90 per cent probability that it will persist until November. “We must prepare for a potentially…


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Record corporate debt issuance of $1.4 trillion so far this year, up 36%

By Morgan StanleyThe strong spending on AI continues to translate into a record issuance of corporate debt. June issuances reached USD 239bn, 90% more than a year ago… while the accumulated volume in 2026 has already reached USD 1.4tn, 36% higher than the previous year. Although the strong supply continues to find very solid demand… supported by record inflows of money into credit funds … MS Research considers that this…


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Fed remains concerned about inflation and keeps interest rates in 3.50%–3.75% range

Report by Renta 4 European markets opened without any major movements (Eurostoxx futures up 0.1 per cent, S&P up 0.2 per cent, Nasdaq up 0.5 per cent), as did Asian markets (Japan up 1 per cent, South Korea down 1 per cent), as markets digested both Kevin Warsh’s message (which the market ultimately interpreted negatively despite an initial positive reaction) and the mixed results from Microsoft and Meta. All this…


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Shift from semiconductors and memory towards hyperscalers and software continues

Report by Renta 4 Minimal fluctuations at the European open (Eurostoxx futures down 0.2%, S&P down 0.1%, Nasdaq down 0.4%) despite continued sharp falls in Asia (Japan down 2%, South Korea down 6%) and renewed tensions between the United States and Iran. Today’s session will have several clear focal points: the Fed meeting and the results from tech giants Microsoft and Meta Platforms, whilst keeping a close eye on the…


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Bleak day for Kospi, on verge of trading halt amid fears of excessive investment in AI

Report by Renta 4 European markets opened lower (Eurostoxx futures down 0.02 per cent, S&P down 0.25 per cent, Nasdaq down 0.8 per cent), following a session that started strong but ended weakly in the US and a black day on the Kospi (down 9%), which hit its lowest level since mid-April and triggered the sidecar and trading halt mechanisms at the start of the session. This fall has been…


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Emerging markets see dividend growth of 12 per cent according to Aberdeen Investments

Analysis by Aberdeen Investments Despite the geopolitical turbulence seen in March, global stock markets have, on the whole, maintained an upward trend so far this year. Growth has been driven mainly by emerging markets, which have posted a return of 24.8 per cent, whilst developed markets have lagged behind (as at 31 May 2026). Dividend growth in emerging markets has also generated a compound annual growth rate of nearly 12…