In the World

An ammonia storage facility

Ammonia, Not Just A Question Of Colours

Mirabaud | When electricity needs to be produced, the cheapest energy sources are used first: wind, solar and hydro. If they are not available, more expensive energies are added: lignite, nuclear, coal, gas and,finally,green ammonia.
You may ask, rightly, what green ammonia has to do with this list of energies. Scientists recently discovered a potentially revolutionary feature of ammonia by using it as an energy source.


An exterior view of China Evergrande Centre in Hong Kong

Evergrande Is Not Lehman

Intermoney | A slightly higher opening (Eurostoxx futures +0.3%) after yesterday’s 2% falls in the main American and European indices, with the Ibex registering a better relative performance, buoyed by the tourism and defensive sectors. This environment of greater risk aversion and fears about economic growth also translated into additional moderation of IRRs. In the case of Europe, this was also supported by the statements from Villeroy, the governor of…


Gold

Gold Outlook To Q2 2022: Needs To Catch Up With Inflation Reality

Nitesh Shah (Wisdom Tree) | After staging a recovery for most of Q2 2021, drawdowns in June and August 2021 have set the metal back. Based on our modelling framework, gold looks severely under-priced. Red-hot inflation – currently above 5% – should point to a gold price above US$2000/oz, yet we are currently languishing around the $1785/oz handle. As Figure 1 below shows, our model indicates that in July 2021,…


amazon prime video

Five Predictions For The Future Of US Media

Nathan Meyer (Capital Group) | With remarkable speed, the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated select investment themes across a number of industries. In my view as an equity analyst, nowhere is that truer than the media and entertainment sectors where technological advances and work-from-home trends are rapidly changing the landscape. For exmaple, streaming services such as Netflix, Disney+ and Amazon Video are the primary replacement for traditional pay TV bundles.


An exterior view of China Evergrande Centre in Hong Kong

Watch Evergrande: Chinese Real Estate Giant’s Debt Means 2% Of The Country’s GDP

China’s country’s largest real estate company, Evergrande, which is on the verge of bankruptcy with more than $300 billion in debt (about 2% of China’s GDP), has announced that it will not be able to pay interest next week. Weak home sales, especially in the last year, have put it in this cash-strapped position. Therefore, the situation is becoming increasingly tense. The group is described by Beijing as a “grey rhinoceros”, i.e., a large company with an alarming debt load representing a systemic financial risk.


Rusia's economy recovery

Russia’s ‘Fortress’ Strategy Is Not For Free

Atradius Research | Using a policy of fiscal austerity and credible inflation targeting, the Russian government has successfully insulated its economy from external shocks, including sanctions. Despite its success, the ‘Fortress’ strategy has also come at a cost: discontent among the population is growing over stagnating economic growth and declining real incomes. If Russia is to raise its income level, more robust reforms are needed to overcome structural impediments to…


labour market

US | The Labor Market Is Set To Fully Recover, But It Will Take Some Time

BBVA Research | The labor market hit the brakes in August, probably driven by both demand and supply factors as a consumption demand slowdown along with increasing health concerns, both associated with the Delta variant, impacted the labor market. Job creation was a major disappointment in August. There is still a way to go to fully recover and the road will likely remain bumpy in the short-term as the Delta…


JoeBiden

‘Delta’ Spelled With A ‘W’

Pablo Pardo (Washington) | In September, the slowdown has, unexpectedly, arrived in the US. The main culprit is the Delta variant of the coronavirus, which is once again claiming 1,500 lives daily and threatens to cause a ‘W’ revival. Until just a month ago, the biggest question regarding the US economy was whether its growth would beat China’s for two years in a row. The last time US GDP growth…


veolia suez

France Leads The Way In Public-Private Partnerships

Henry McCaw | In 2011, France dominated the European PPP market, accounting for 62% of the overall market value. According to the World Bank, this was reflected in the “wave of new ‘social infrastructure’ investments in health, education, defense, transport and urban planning sectors.” In the water sector, France is a global leader in private sector participation, with three French companies, Veolia, Suez and SAUR, dominating on the world stage. The French model of concession agreements in the water sector has increasingly been adopted in developing countries.


semiconductors osram

What If The Semiconductor Shortage Continues Until 2023?

Mirabaud | There has been a lot of talk about semiconductors and the extent of the shortage we’ve experienced since the start of the coronavirus crisis. However, while the consensus is betting on a return to normalcy in early 2022,we should perhaps look to 2023 instead, particularly because of the expansion of … cryptocurrencies.a. The factsDaimler AG’s chief executive yesterday warned that the global semiconductor shortage may not disappear completely…