In the World

J.Yellen

US debt ceiling: prepare for a shutdown

Franck Dixmier, Global CIO Fixed Income (Allianz GI) | Investors could be forgiven for thinking they have been here before. As the clock ticks down on the US debt limit deadline, markets are once again getting familiar with the intricacies of US politics. In what has become a semi-regular partisan wrangle, politicians in Washington are in talks over raising the federal debt limit before June, the month when the government…


X Elio fotovoltaica

Repsol begins photovoltaic electricity production in Chile

The Spanish oil company’s first joint solar project in Chile, announced yesterday by the two companies REPSOL (REP) and Grupo Ibereólica, through their 50/50 joint venture Repsol Ibereólica Renovables Chile, has begun to feed electricity into the grid with the start-up of the first phase of the “Elena” photovoltaic plant, which will have a total installed capacity of up to 596 megawatts (MW). Specifically, the first phase of this facility,…


china stock market

China-Russia trade ties enhanced in response to Western sanctions

Alicia García herrero (Natixis) | During the past fifteen months after the outbreak of the Ukraine war, China and Russia’s trade value increased by 36.5% compared to pre-war levels, showing their much-enhanced ties in merchandise trade. Meanwhile, in addition to the upswing of the headline amount, some new patterns in their trade structure are also worth watching. For example, Russia has moved up rapidly in the rank of China’s external…


Tesla

Tesla to consider advertising its products, demand problems?

Bankinter: Good performance on Wednesday after the messages launched at the Shareholders’ Meeting. The highlights are: (i) Musk stated that he will remain at the helm of Tesla, dismissing rumours of his possible retirement now that he is also in charge of Twitter. (ii) Deliveries of the Cybertruck will begin this year. (iii) Tesla is working on the development of two new models. (iv) It will consider starting to announce…


Telefonica

Zoom, the return of a company that is not the same as it was in 2019

Renta 4: The price reacts from levels of $60, historical lows of the stock during 2019, before emerging on the upside with the lockdowns of the pandemic. Although the stock is at the same levels as then, the company’s figures have nothing to do with those of that time, for example it has more than $5 billion, 25% of its capitalisation, in cash, without debt. In the short term it…


eeuu capitolio

General consensus to raise debt ceiling in US Congress: “default is not an option”

Norbolsa | After Tuesday’s meeting, both Biden and congressional leaders were optimistic about a deal to raise the debt ceiling “in the coming days” even though McCarthy insisted that positions are still far apart. For his part, Biden publicly stated that during the negotiations there was a general consensus that “default is not an option” and thus lowered fears of a worst-case scenario.


default David Fernandez

HY default rates raised to 3.1%.

Moody’s HY default rate increased to 3.1% in April. In line with the progressive deterioration of the credit quality of companies globally. Moody’s published yesterday its monthly report where it states that there were 11 defaults in April so that, after the monthly record of 16 defaults in March (since December 2020), the balance in the first four months of the year amounts to 45 defaults. North America leads with…


china componentes

China: industrial production and retail sales up 5.6% and 18.4% in April, respectively

Banca March: Activity accelerates in China, but at a slower pace than expected. The April set of activity indicators showed a rebound in growth, as industrial production accelerated to 5.6% while retail sales advanced 18.4%. Although these data are very positive and confirm that the reopening of the economy is boosting activity, they fell short of expectations (10.9% and 21% respectively). On the consumer spending side, the best performing components…


US China relations

China and the US might not be decoupling but their technologies are bifurcating

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | The strategic competition between the US and China started in early 2018 when the Trump administration implemented untargeted import tariffs and reoriented most of its trade efforts towards widening the technology gap between China and the US with a special focus on deep tech, such as semiconductors. The Biden administration has pushed even further in that direction. However, one should not forget that well before…


Australiaok

Australia: Slightly expansionary budget laying ground for possible RBA hikes

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | Australia’s FY2023-24 budget was slightly expansionary supported by an improved fiscal position. The underlying cash balance for FY2022-23 is expected to be a small surplus (+0.2% of GDP), the first surplus in fifteen years. Revenues expanded by +8.8% on the back of higher commodity prices and larger personal income tax from the resilient labor market.On the back of surging inflation, the Labor Government has launched…