BancaMarch| OPEC oil production has fallen by 350,000 b/d. According to the cartel’s report, crude oil production has fallen by 350,000 barrels per day between December and January to 26.3 million barrels per day. The main reduction is due to 162,000 barrels per day less from Libya, as a result of internal conflicts in the country. Kuwait and Iraq have also seen their production fall sharply by 109,000 and 98,000…
Bankinter: Inflation slowed less than expected in January, while core inflation also missed expectations. CPI was +3.1% year-on-year against +2.9% expected and +3.4% previously. Underlying was +3.9% versus +3.7% expected and +3.9% previously. Assessment: Negative data for stock markets and bonds, as the general rate returns to the deceleration trend, but less than expected. On the core side, the reading repeats December’s figure, when a marginal decline was expected. This…
Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | The years of China’s high growth are past, as the world learned painfully in 2023. Notwithstanding the enormous tailwinds stemming from having exited Zero-Covid policies during 2022, the Chinese economy barely reached the underwhelming 5% GDP growth target cautiously set by Premier Li Qiang back in March 2022. The reasons for the very slow recovery of the Chinese economy in 2023 are both cyclical and…
Link Securities | Masdar, the Abu Dhabi Emirate’s renewables group, is considering acquiring a stake in Iberdrola’s (IBE) renewable assets in the United States, according to Expansión. It would be a first move following the deal sealed last December, when the two groups agreed on an alliance to analyse investment opportunities valued at €15 billion. The initial agreement contemplated investments in offshore wind and hydrogen projects in several countries, including…
Intermoney| On the oil front, news from Iraq. According to the country’s oil minister, Iraq, OPEC’s second largest producer, is meeting its production quota under the OPEC+ agreement that limits production to prop up the market. Iraq has capped production at 4 million bpd while exports are around 3.4 million bpd. Iraq is OPEC+’s second largest producer, but has a history of irregularity in meeting its quota with the cartel,…
Link Securities| According to data from the Department of Labor, the US consumer price index (CPI) for December was revised down to a monthly increase of 0.2%, from a preliminary increase of 0.3%. In addition, November’s figure was revised upwards to an increase of 0.2%, from the initial figure of a 0.1% increase, and October’s figure was also revised upwards by one-tenth, from an initial flat reading to an uptick…
Banco Sabadell: 4Q’23 results slightly better than expected 4Q’23 EBITDA slightly better than expected ($1,266m versus $1,233m BS(e) and $1,200m consensus), although contracting versus 3Q’23 due to a lower average price, something we see in all its geographies. Deliveries fell at the aggregate level compared to Q3’23, although in North America (34% EBITDA) they rebounded slightly (+2.4%), which anticipates some improvement. The lower part of the income statement is impacted…
Santander Research : After last week’s stock market collapse of regional bank New York Community Bancorp, in Europe, the alarm bell was sounded by Deutsche Pfandbriefbank. By country, the biggest stock market falls are in French (BNP -14%, SocGen -9%) and German banks; while, in credit, the biggest increases are in German banks (+27bp), followed by Spanish (+9bp), French (+8bp) and Italian (+6bp) banks. The upgrade by S&P of Banco…
Link Securities | According to media reports, US company Lockheed Martin has awarded Indra a contract to equip four Saudi ships with state-of-the-art electronic defence systems. The 118-metre-long vessels, with a range of 5,000 miles, are prepared to operate in both coastal and ocean areas. They will be delivered with this Spanish technology to the Royal Saudi Arabian Navy. The companies have declined to disclose the amount of the contract….
Intermoney: The daily newspaper Expansión reports today that ACS (Buy, PO 43) has been awarded several construction contracts in the US and UK for a total of approximately construction contracts in the US and the UK for a total of approximately €400 M€. Thus, the Group has been the preferred bidder for a contract worth some £100 million ( €117 million) at the port of Immingham, the UK’s main port…