In one year, China has used up $ 676 billion of its reserves, which had reached a total of $4 trillion. It could let the remimbi fall and restore monetary autonomy in order to lower rates and boost an economy which is in recession. But this only serves to worsen the volume of debt in dollars, which of course erodes the status it seeks for its currency. The only solution: EU, US help for China.
Caixin | The campaign for the U.S. presidential election in November that is well underway is creating uncertainty for Sino-U.S. relations because no key figures in the incumbent administration are running.
Eusun Cho | Leading up to the Independence Referendum in 2014, one way Scotland sought to differentiate itself from the United Kingdom was through its environmental policy. The Scottish government published a draft interim constitution that separated out the government’s duty to protect the environment in a separate clause.
Marcus Nunes | Ms. Yellen also said that she did not think the Fed, by raising rates in December, had contributed significantly to the latest round of economic problems. When Senator Dean Heller, Republican of Nevada, asked Ms. Yellen whether the Fed had caused stock prices to fall, she responded, “I don’t think it’s mainly our policy.”
In her speech yesterday to the US Congress, Fed chair Janet Yellen made it clear that rates will remain stable over the coming months, despite concerns over China and global growth. The Fed’s monetary policy has no pre-established direction and, if it needed one, it would be adusted to meet the objectives entrusted to the institution. But the problem is that the market will demand more from the Fed.
When there is no big demand for credit and, at the same time, the banks have little appetite to lend, they should focus on repairing balance sheets and not expanding them. And they can use those resources they hold with negative cost to repair their balance sheets.
Francesco Saraceno | FT Alphaville‘s Matthew Klein goes back to the issue of financial stability and monetary policy. A recent speech of Bank of Canada’s Timothy Lane is the occasion for Klein to reassess monetary policy before the crisis, when policy makers (in particular he refers to Ben Bernanke, but the Fed chair was in good company) dismissed fears of asset price bubbles, thus failing recognize, and to counter, the buildup of the crisis.
China’s problem continues to develop. And it can be resumed in three lines: for many years, the external sector, the exchange rate and its currency reserves have been essential for China. Between 1990-2014 approximately, China enforced a competitive exchange rate policy which allowed it to maintain a very low interest rate differential. As a consequence, its reserves saw a continuous increase.
Markets around the world are turning bearish. An understandable move as investors are confronted with dismal global growth prospects. Emerging countries face a rather gloomy outlook and even the most developed regions do not escape this uninspiring scenario. Europe’s recovery lags behind, as usual, while US growth loses momentum.
Leandro Cañibano and Felipe Herranz | The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) has reintroduced the concept of prudence to its draft revised Conceptual Framework approved in 2015. But the scope is different from that contained in the 1989 Framework and, of course, very different from what it normally is.