World economy

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China’s price benchmarks show lack of inflationary pressures and encourage deflation risk

Bankinter | August CPI rises to +0.6% year-on-year from +0.5% previously, however, it is a tenth of a percentage point lower than expected. The Underlying Rate rose +0.3% year-on-year in August (up from +0.4% average) and registers the lowest rate since March 2021. (2) August Industrial Prices declined -1.8% year-on-year from -0.8% pre and worse than the expected -1.5% year-on-year. Bankinter’s analysis team’s opinion: The two price references show the…


EEUU deficit comercial

US records largest trade deficit in two years: up +7.9% from previous month to $78.8bn

Intermoney | US foreign trade posted a $78.8 billion deficit in July, which was within our forecast, widening the gap to the highest level in two years, driven by a surge in goods imports. But it also reflected the intention of companies to ensure adequate supply in the face of a possible dock workers’ strike, which led the value of imports of goods and services to rise by 2.1%. And…


EEUU

End of US yield curve inversion: for first time in 26 months, 10-year bond vs. 2-year bond shows positive slope

Banca March: More than two years after the 10-year – 2-year slope began the inversion – the short 2-year sovereign rate was higher than the long 10-year rate – today the US benchmark has a positive slope for the first time. In this case, the inversion of the curve has lasted 26 months, the longest period since the 1980s. Historically, the last six recessions have been preceded by an inversion…


Iberdrola edificio

Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund wants to increase stake in Iberdrola to more than 10% from current 8.69%

Banco Sabadell: According to press reports, the Qatar Investment Authority wants to raise its stake in Iberdrola from the current 8.69% and will seek to allow it to pass 10%. Assessment: Positive news with limited impact pending confirmation. Qatar would continue to hold the largest stake in the company, followed by Blackrock (5.395%) and Norges (3.116%). An increase in Qatar’s shareholding would have no consequences for the management of the…


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Técnicas Reunidas aims to build new gas conversion plant in Kazakhstan for an estimated €2.7 billion

Alphavalue / Divacons | The Spanish oil services company is in advanced talks to build a new gas development project in Kazakhstan, one of the world’s largest oil and gas producers, with an investment budget of up to $3 billion (around €2.7 billion), reports Expansión. According to energy sources, state-owned KazMunayGaz (KMG) is negotiating the contract with the Spanish company as part of a programme to modernise the Tengiz oil…


Avangrid 2

US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authorises Iberdrola to purchase the 18.4% of capital it does not already own in its subsidiary Avangrid

Santander Research |According to the Spanish press, the US Federal Energy Regulator (FERC) has given its approval for Iberdrola (Baa1 e, BBB+ e, BBB+ e) to buy the minority stakes in its US subsidiary Avangrid. On 17 May, Iberdrola had announced its intention to acquire 18.4% of Iberdrola shares held by minority shareholders to take full control of the group for a cost of approximately $2.55 billion. The US Securities…


Fed Atlanta

Atlanta Fed urged not to take any decision on September rate hike before PCE, CPI and employment data released

Bankinter | Atlanta Fed President Bostic said that with inflation moving back towards target and unemployment levels slightly above what they anticipated, it makes the most sense to implement the first rate cut at the September 18 meeting. However, he added that before taking any decision, the two remaining inflation data until the meeting (PCE and CPI) and above all the employment data (6 Sept.) will be crucial. Under this…


ISM servicios EEUU

US consumer confidence rises to 103.3 versus 101.0 expected and 101.9 previously

Bankinter | Consumer Confidence has improved more than expected in August. It has risen to 103.3 versus the 101.0 expected and 101.9 previous (revised from 100.3 points). Both components improve: Expectations to 82.5 from 81.1 (revised from 78.2) and Current Situation to 134.4 from 133.1 (revised from 133.6). Case-Shiller House Prices barely decelerated in June, highlighting the robustness of the real estate sector: +6.47% year-on-year in June versus +6.50% expected…


china exportaciones

Canada replicates US tariffs on Chinese products

Banca March : Canada replicates the US tariffs imposed on China: electric vehicles from the Asian country will be subject to a rate of up to 100%, while steel and aluminium will be subject to 25%. In the first case, they will come into force on 1 October, while for the metals in question they will begin on 15 October. The Chinese embassy in Ottawa has replied, referring to the…


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Digital revolution speeds up in Japan

Capital Group | The winds of change are blowing in Japan. Corporate reform, wage growth and the digital revolution are ending decades of deflation and driving the market to highs not seen since 1989. Policymakers are urging companies to put shareholders first, and the government has created a digital agency to close the innovation gap with other countries. Digitalisation is a key issue to overcome demographic problems and boost productivity….