China

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China: commercial banks keep rates on hold, in line with PBOC, to avoid excessive yuan depreciation

Bankinter: The one-year rate, which is the benchmark for corporate loans, remained at 3.10%. The five-year rate, which is the benchmark for mortgage loans, remained at 3.60%. In October, commercial banks cut these rates by -25bp following the PBOC cut that was part of a stimulus plan to revitalise the economy approved at the end of September. Market sentiment: This pause in the process of rate cuts by commercial banks…


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China announces $840 billion allocation to local governments to tackle hidden debt problems

Link Securities | Last Friday, as reported by CNBC, Chinese authorities announced that the central government will allocate an additional CN¥6 trillion ($840 billion) to local governments to address hidden debt problems. The programme will take effect this year and run until the end of 2026, China’s finance minister Lan Fo’an told reporters. The aid will be spread over about CN¥2 trillion a year. Lan added that starting this year,…


China stocks markets

China initiates two programmes totalling $122.38 billion focused on facilitating share buybacks and providing greater liquidity to markets

Banca March | China has kicked off two programmes totalling up to ¥800 billion ($122.38 billion) aimed at facilitating share buybacks and providing greater liquidity to the markets. Some ¥500 billion will be granted to the swap programme, which allows the exchange of assets – such as corporate bonds or shares of CSI 300 companies – in exchange for highly liquid securities such as government bonds, making it easier for…


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China to impose tariffs on European brandy, possibly on cars, pork and dairy products

Banca March: The Asian country has opted to retaliate after EU member states voted on Friday to impose levies of up to 45% on electric vehicles of Chinese origin. China’s measures on spirits amount to 39%, taking effect on Friday 11 October. The main country affected will be France, where China accounted for 99% of exports of the drink. The EU has already announced that it will take the disagreement…


china economía

China to implement new fiscal stimulus package of around $28bn to ensure growth reaches 5% target

Bankinter: The Development and Reform Commission has announced a new fiscal stimulus package of CNY 200 billion (approx. $28 billion) to ensure that growth reaches the 5% target. The measures will be structured in two tranches. In the first, CNY 100bn ultra-long bonds will be issued to develop as yet unspecified projects, and in the second, the same amount will be earmarked for a series of strategic investments, of which…


The year of US infrastructures

“Golden week” in China: international travel estimated to have grown 19% year-on-year, surpassing pre-covid levels

Bankinter: First data on Golden Week spending: international daily travel is estimated to have increased +19% year-on-year, surpassing pre-covid levels. On the first day of this holiday week, foreign travel increased 40%, according to Trip.com (up 30% to Europe) and rail travel reached record highs. According to Alipay, tourists who have travelled abroad have spent 120% more than last year. Other indicators, however, such as travel to Hong Kong showed…


ChinaSolarPanels

European Union must prepare for much more difficult relationship with China

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis) | The tone of European Union-China relations changed radically in 2019. The EU moved beyond engagement to competition and even rivalry. China has become Europe’s largest competitor in third markets and increasingly even in the EU single market. This aggressive competition is the result of a complicated mix of China’s greater competitiveness, massive Chinese industrial policy underpinned by subsidies, and the Chinese market not offering sufficient…


china exportaciones

Chinese import growth signals buoyant domestic demand, but exports deteriorate

Bankinter : Trade Balance (August): $91,020M vs. $81,100M expected vs. $84,650M previous. Exports: +8.7% vs. +6.6% expected vs. +7.0% previous. Imports: +0.5% vs. +2.5% expected vs. +7.2% previously. Opinion of Bankinter’s analysis team: Import growth marks a two-year high, reflecting the dynamism of domestic demand, which is increasing this month. However, the sharp slowdown in exports, which were the key to the recovery of GDP in 2Q24, is a negative…


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China now controls export of crucial semiconductor materials, affecting Western supply chains for advanced chips and military hardware

One aspect that should not be neglected is an international trade that, especially where China is concerned, is becoming more tense. While the EU and the US have already taken the step of increasing their tariffs, it is now Canada that has announced a 100% tariff on imports of Chinese electric vehicles and another 25% tariff on steel and aluminium imported from China. More than the material effects of the…


China EU

China announces investigation against imports of certain EU dairy products

BancaMarch: China raises the tone in the trade war, now with dairy. China’s Ministry of Commerce announced on Wednesday that it will launch an investigation against imports of some dairy products from the European Union. According to the Chinese executive, the investigation is being launched at the request of the country’s Dairy Industry Association, which claims that products such as fresh cheese, curd and cream receive subsidies from the EU…