Disinflation-felt locally, spread globally
UBS | Monetary policy remains stimulative globally, and labor markets are tightening. Yet, global inflation is low.
UBS | Monetary policy remains stimulative globally, and labor markets are tightening. Yet, global inflation is low.
Are we putting the responsilibity of exiting the crisis on central banks’ shoulders? Is ECB’s president Mario Draghi doing traders a favour by playing down the ECB’s responsibility for contributing to volatility? Professor of Financial Mathematics at Bocconi’s University Marcello Minenna answers to these questions from Milan and argues that a low interest rate environment is here to stay.
By James Alexander via Historinhas | Another day another proof of the immediate impact of active monetary policy in altering NGDP growth expectations and therefore setting the flight path to a different future.
By Alicia García-Herrero at Bruegel | Sitting on a pile of debt, China’s only way out is to deleverage: more pain now for sustainable growth later. [Figure: China’s augmented fiscal deficit as % of GDP.]
By Wang Liwei at Caixin | Aders Borg from the World Economic Forum discusses structural changes and the global financial framework’s future.
By James Alexander via Historinhas | Although it appeared that the VSPs gathered in Jackson Hole could only worry about non-existent inflation, I detected a defensiveness too.
New risks and setbacks again threaten Europe’s economic sentiment.
UBS analysts explain some key aspects of Fed’s challenging task starting in September.
Some experts analyse the impact of the first almost 6 months since the ECB announced the launch of its ‘quantitative easing’.
China’s unexpected decision to devaluate its currency triggers uncertainty in the markets.