The four mobile operators in Germany have signed a declaration of intentions with the government and local authorities to roll out the LTE network at national level. Telefonica Germany will construct 333 new mobile installations by the end of 2021. As compensation, the government has committed itself to improve the method of payment for the 5G licences auctioned in June.
Patrik Lang, Head of Equities Research, Julius Baer | A further delay on 31 October seems currently the most likely scenario. General elections later on will decide the fate of Brexit. For continental European equities, we see a 10% downside in the event of a hard Brexit, mainly driven by financials and autos.
Gilles Möec (chief economist at AXA IM) | In our view, the ECB’s narrative lacks consistency at the moment. Most of the members of the Governing Council who have expressed themselves called for more fiscal stimulus. This was evident again in Bank of Spain Governor De Cos’ speech last weekend. We agree with that. But if even central bankers now consider that the fiscal leg of economic policy should take the lead, while they also recognize that additional monetary stimulus can come with adverse effects – to the point that another deposit rate cut must be “mitigated” – then the question of whether the monetary push is going to be a net positive arises.
Peter Isackson via Fair Observer | From politics to science and the arts, we need to understand how “influence” works and how the notion has evolved in recent history.
Alphavalue | With most of the results for the first half of 2019 already published, the annual estimates of earnings per share (EPS) for 2019 point to an increase of +4.4% yoy, downgraded from the +10% forecast at the beginning of 2019 (when the 2018 figures were still estimates).
Telefonica is considering selling mobile and towers and fibre cables to its subsidiary Telxius (50.01%9 with the aim of giving greater visibility to the value of these assets, taking account of the major recognition telecommunications infrastructure is receiving in the markets.
Chris Stafford via The Conversation | Despite repeatedly insisting he didn’t want a general election, Boris Johnson, the UK prime minister, has now tried and failed to get parliament to support one. It now looks like he’ll try again or seek a vote by some other route. Having lost his majority and control of parliament, a general election seems almost inevitable now. The big question, though, is when it will happen.
A. Menut and A. Tentori (AXA IM) | Italian politics are back at centre stage, with Lega party leader Matteo Salvini unexpectedly triggering a government crisis and making way for what in many ways is yet another spurious coalition. The positive political climate, more European Union-friendly, together with non-negative – although weak – growth should be encouraging for markets.
Christine Lagarde, the nominee to be the European Central Bank’s next president, vows for the issuance of financial instruments that group bonds from different EU members which could act as refuge assets and increase the supply of bonds with high credit quality in the EMU.
This completes six months of the index on a downward trend and more than three years negative.