Articles by The Corner

About the Author

The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.
There are enough similarities between populist government in Italy and Syriza's developments in Greece

One Year Of SYRIZA

Nick Malkoutzis via Macropolis | Looking back on it, there was strong evidence to believe one year ago that SYRIZA was doomed from the start. Forget its inexperience, cast off its ideological straitjacket and ignore the factors that had stacked up against the new government (diminishing liquidity, weak banks, fragile economy and sceptical lenders): these were all signposts pointing towards Alexis Tsipras crashing into the wall, but it was the campaign slogan for the January 25 elections that really gave it away.


populus

Addressing the Populist Challenge in 2016

Guntram B. Wolff via Caixin | One of the clear trends of 2015 was the rise of parties that radically challenge the consensus of traditional parties and their representatives. This trend is perhaps most visible in France and the United States but is also strong elsewhere. It will likely be a major force shaping European and global policies. A reflection on its causes is imperative to define the right policies for 2016. We should also ask what could it mean for China.


janet stanely

Well Done Janet, Well Done Stanley

James Alexander via Historinhas | Where are the John Maynard Keynes’ and Milton Friedman’s when you need them? The Fed, led by Janet Yellen and Stanley Fischer, has made a huge mistake in tightening monetary policy. The other members of the FOMC are largely irrelevant noise, with the possible exception of the NY Fed’s Dudley, though all carry blame.


VIX and companies

S&P 500’s External Financing Is More Limited

BARCLAYS | We have pursued two apparently unrelated topics in our recent research. One topic has been the identification of fundamental traits that have the best track record of making stocks outperform. Some of these are counterintuitive. For example, the stocks of companies with high profit margins have underperformed the stocks of companies with low profit margins over the past 15 years


ECB2

Will The ECB’s Commitment Be Enough To Stop Punishment From The Markets?

The ECB has committed to reviewing its monetary policy at its March meeting, leaving the door open to implementing any (monetary) instruments  it has at its disposal. Thus the central bank is acknowledging the increasing downside risks and the deterioration in inflation, failing to meet end-2015 expectations and discounting low or even  negative CPI rates in the European Monetary Union over the coming months. But the question now is whether its commitment will satisfy the markets.


Oil rig1

Year 2016 Will See The Full Impact Of The Collapse In The US Rig Count

UBS | We’ve marked to market for 4Q15 and lowered our 2016 Brent/WTI oil price forecasts ($/Bbl) to $42.50/$40.00 (from $57.50/$52.50), reflecting the much weaker 4Q outturn and lower entry point into 2016. In the near-term the market remains oversupplied and we expect global inventories to continue building until 3Q16, dampening any potential price recovery.


Unicredit, Santander and Lloyds are Morgan Stanley's top picks to invest in the European banking sector again

A New ECB Provisioning Plan, Reclassification Of NPLs Doesn’t Make Much Sense

The Italian banks’ share prices have taken a beating recently on rumours – partially confirmed – that the ECB has contacted some of them regarding their bad loans. And now some of Spain’s domestically-focused lenders are suffering from a contagion effect, posting losses and underperforming as the scepticism spreads to their own NPLs situation. Banc Sabadell analysts highlight that “the risk of the ECB introducing new provisions or reclassifying NPLs would, in general, not make a lot of sense.”


BRICS

Have the BRICs Hit a Wall? The Next Emerging Markets

Which countries are poised to become the next high-growth developing markets?Until recently, when people talked about “emerging markets,” they were referring to the BRIC economies: Brazil, Russia, India and China. Undeniably, these countries have changed the face of global business over the past 20 years. Yet lately, the BRICs have been crumbling a bit, sparking many reports about their lackluster performance.


kyri

Holding Out For A (Reformist) Hero

Nick Malkoutzis via Macropolis | Since the start of the Greek crisis, many international commentators (as well as locals) have been holding out hope that a reformist white knight would emerge from the political morass and ride to Greece’s rescue. Reality, though, has been equally consistent in shattering their illusions. Despite numerous false dawns, the latest candidate for this position is former administrative reform minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, who caused an upset by winning New Democracy’s leadership vote on January 10th.

EU bonita

The Quest For Discretionary Fiscal Policy

Francesco Saraceno | The EMU policy debate in the past few months kept revolving around monetary policy. Just this morning I read a Financial Times report on the never ending struggle between hawks and doves within the ECB. I am all for continued monetary stimulus. It cannot hurt. But there is only so much monetary policy can do in a liquidity trap. I said it many times in the past (I am in very good company, by the way), and nothing so far proved me wrong.