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Indra Tecnocom

Silvia Iranzo’s resignation leaves Indra with just two independent board members

Renta 4 | Silvia Iranzo tendered her resignation after the cessation of 5 independent Board Members at the AGM held last Thursday. There are now just two independent Board Members, Ignacio Martín and Francisco Javier García Sanz, who could resign very soon. Stock Market Regulator (CNMV) chairman, Rodrigo Buenaventure, described the events at the AGM as “striking and worrying”. He added that the regulator will analyse what took place “rigorously and…


Stock markets

Downward revisions to profits remain

A&G | The Q1 results season was solid on both sides of the Atlantic. And up to now EPS for 2022 has been revised 3% upwards by S&P500 and 11% by the STOXX 600. The weighting of the raw material sectors, particularly in Europe, helped to drive EPS estimates (ex EPS estimates for raw materials they rose only 2% YTD in Europe). We are beginnning to see signs of a…


CaixaBank

Risk in estimating banking sector profits is on the rise: Caixabank in top picks

Morgan Stanley | We run over the main themes which are affecting the banking sector at the moment. In terms of balance sheets, the sector has on average 420 bp of excess capital, lending support to dividends. The sector in Europe has greater cash yield (div + buybacks). Exposure to Russia has been decreasing proactively, on average 12% down vs figures pre-Q1 2022. Net interest income has the support of…


Iberdrola

Electricity sector: Moncloa looks to impose a charge on companies via decree law. We prefer Iberdrola and Ecoener

Banc Sabadell | The Government is looking for the “quickest” formula to increase tax pressure on the big electricity companies. The most feasible and fast option would be to implement a surcharge on corporate tax via a decree law, with which the the energy firms’ ‘windfall profits’ from the rise in prices would be additionally taxed. Given the technical complexity of this, it is being considered whether to include it…


No Picture

Grifols’s valuation not attractive at 7x net debt/Ebitda 2022 and weak cash generation; better risk/return with others like Almirall

Morgan Stanley | Grifols (GRF) will hold its Investor Day on June 30. We expect to hear on the following main topics: (i) Estimates on plasma growth (both consensus and ourselves already expect 20-25% growth in 2022, above 2019 levels, and see little chance of increases in the numbers). (ii) Greater visibility on the new launches from Biotest, fibrinogen and IgM which could be delayed. (iii) Leverage (competitive disruption and the smaller contribution…


Acerinox

Greater pressure on US imports in H2’22: Acerinox, from Overweight to Equalweight, T.P. 11,70 to 13,30 euros/share

Morgan Stanley | The market is assuming normalised profits and not extrapolating the extraordinary profits in Q1 2022 due to macroeconomic uncertainties. For the time being, we remain neutral on the sector and are changing our order of preference. Aperam has been the one which has most lagged behind out of all the steel stocks YTD. We believe the recent derating is exaggerated and its exposure to Europe clearly compensates that….


ArcelorMittal

ArcelorMittal: despite a more moderate outlook for steel consumption, it expects annual growth in orders via imports

Morgan Stanley | We highlight the main points dealt with in Arcelor’s conference following results: a.- Decarbonization: it reiterated its intention of investing in new projects/opportunities to prepare the company for the future with particular focus on those renewables which can be a competitive advantage for the business as the industry evolves. Management has assured that investments will be made within the established framework for capital allocation. A Net Debt…


OPEC cut to impact Spanish economy

Diesel At 2 Euros A Litre At 780 Spanish Petrol Stations

Fuel prices give no respite. The 20 cents per litre rebate that has been in force since 1 April has partially relieved the pockets of millions of Spanish drivers. But diesel and petrol prices continue to rise at Spanish service stations. Diesel, in fact, has broken a new record this week, reaching 1.872 euros per litre on average, surpassing the price of petrol for the fifth consecutive week. This is…


Heathrow Ferrovial

Overall solid results support our valuation of >2 M€ of Heathrow in Ferrovial’s capital

Morgan Stanley | Heathrow (C.8% of the value of Ferrovial (FER)) beat expectations in terms of revenues and costs in Q1’22. In light of an acceleration in the recovery during March/Easter, and a good outlook for airline capacity this summer, management has upgraded its previously conservative guidance for FY’22 by 16% (45.5 million people → 52.8m). It maintains its traditional cautious view with regard to the outlook for Autumn/Winter. The establishment…


housing sales

The Government Limits Rent Rises To 2% Until 30 June

Amongst the measures to be approved today by the Council of Ministers, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has included limiting rent rises to 2%. This is against a backdrop of when, in February for example, the CPI rose by 7.6%, according to the INE. This will be a temporary measure, in principle in force until June, and will differentiate between large and small landlords. If the landlord is a “large landlord”…