Ibex

Atlantia-Abertis

Italy gives green light to Benetton’s bid for Atlantia: one of the initial accords could be the transfer of its 15% stake in Hochtief

Intermoney | The Italian government has decided not to oppose the bid launched for Atlantia by the Benettons and Blackstone, according to the daily Cinco Dias. In theory, the Italian executive could have invoked the special powers it still has over Atlantia and other strategic sectors. However it has declined to do so. The price of the bid is 23 euros in cash, which values the concessionary at some 19…


Indra

Indra signs agreement with Airways New Zealand to modernise the country’s airborne radar network

Link Securities| Indra has signed a contract with Airways New Zealand, the country’s air navegation services’ provider, to modernise the airborne radar netwtork with state of the art technology, according to Europa Press on Tuesday. Separately, Indra said in a statement that this move will reinforce the security of the country’s air traffic, allowing for an increase in capacity as well as a reduction in emissions. As part of the agreement,…


CaixaBank

Risk in estimating banking sector profits is on the rise: Caixabank in top picks

Morgan Stanley | We run over the main themes which are affecting the banking sector at the moment. In terms of balance sheets, the sector has on average 420 bp of excess capital, lending support to dividends. The sector in Europe has greater cash yield (div + buybacks). Exposure to Russia has been decreasing proactively, on average 12% down vs figures pre-Q1 2022. Net interest income has the support of…


Iberdrola

Electricity sector: Moncloa looks to impose a charge on companies via decree law. We prefer Iberdrola and Ecoener

Banc Sabadell | The Government is looking for the “quickest” formula to increase tax pressure on the big electricity companies. The most feasible and fast option would be to implement a surcharge on corporate tax via a decree law, with which the the energy firms’ ‘windfall profits’ from the rise in prices would be additionally taxed. Given the technical complexity of this, it is being considered whether to include it…


Grifols

Grifols’s valuation not attractive at 7x net debt/Ebitda 2022 and weak cash generation; better risk/return with others like Almirall

Morgan Stanley | Grifols (GRF) will hold its Investor Day on June 30. We expect to hear on the following main topics: (i) Estimates on plasma growth (both consensus and ourselves already expect 20-25% growth in 2022, above 2019 levels, and see little chance of increases in the numbers). (ii) Greater visibility on the new launches from Biotest, fibrinogen and IgM which could be delayed. (iii) Leverage (competitive disruption and the smaller contribution…


Meliá

Meliá forecasts closing 2022 with Ebitda of over €400 M; expects to recover pre-Covid revenues in 2023

Bankinter | Meliá has offered some guidelines for the next few years, for the first time since the pandemic. It will recover pre-Covid revenue levels in 2023, with an improvement in margins of 300 bp from 2024. This clearly beats our estimates. The CEO of Meliá forecasts closing 2022 with EBITDA of over 400 million euros, excluding capital gains. In 2023, the group will recover pre-Covid revenues (1.8 billion euros…


Aena

Eurocontrol’s estimates are in line with those of Aena; sees 2024 air traffic +3% pre-Covid

Intermoney | The latest estimate from the European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation (Eurocontrol) flags that air traffic in Spain will recover pre-Covid levels in 2024, a year, in fact, in which they would be 3% higher than in 2019, according to the daily Expansion. This would partly be in contrast with other markets like Italy and the UK (+2%) and particularly Germany, which would remain slightly below…


Fluidra

Fluidra will fully control Hungarian firm Kerex after buying 73,2% for €4,5 M

Intermoney | Fluidra has informed the Stock Market Regulator (CNMV) that it will fully control Hungarian firm Kerex after buying 73,2% for 4,5 million euros. The transaction is expected to be closed in September 2022. This is after the usual suspensory conditions in this kind of deal have been met, and provided there is no material adverse change which negatively and significantly affects Kerex between the Signing and the Close…


Inditex

Inditex: recent progress encourages a recovery of confidence unblocking the stock in the short-term

CdM |Inditex (ITX)’s first quarter results released on Wednesday beat expectations; the net profit figure reflects the provision for the suspension of activity in Russia and the Ukraine. Main figures compared with Bloomberg consensus: Sales 6.742 billion euros (+36.4%) vs 6.237 billion expected. Gross Margin 4.054 billion euros (+36.9%) vs 3.713 billion (e). This means a margin of 60.1% vs 59.9% in Q1 2021 and 59.5% expected. EBITDA 1.917 billion…


Repsol

Repsol will decide this Thursday whether to sell 25% of Repsol Renovables (total worth some €3.500 B)

Norbolsa | This Thursday Repsol’s board will decide on whether it will sell 25% of Repsol Renovables, according to online daily El Confidencial. Possible favourites could be Prédica (a subsidiary of Credit Agricole) and Swiss fund Energy Infrastructure Partners. A valuation of 3.5 billion euros has been suggested for 100% of Repsol’s renewable arm. We recall that a few days ago press reports flagged the possibility that Repsol was studying…