Citi | After the recent events, culminating in the execution of the bench-warrant of former President Lula on February 4 , we have reassessed the probability of our current muddling – through macroeconomic scenario and conjectured alternative scenarios .
Which countries are poised to become the next high-growth developing markets?Until recently, when people talked about “emerging markets,” they were referring to the BRIC economies: Brazil, Russia, India and China. Undeniably, these countries have changed the face of global business over the past 20 years. Yet lately, the BRICs have been crumbling a bit, sparking many reports about their lackluster performance.
Brazil industrial production have been evolving according to the world average. For the past six years, however, it “dismounted from the world horse”.
BARCLAYS | Brazil is confronting a toxic combination of a primary budg et deficit, high public debt (relative to EM countries), very high real interest rates (the Selic stands at 14.25%), sluggish trend growth, a negative commodity price shock and potential contingent liabilities for the sovereign, which together spell trouble for public debt dynamics.
Richard N. Cooper via Caixin | Fourteen years ago, Jim O’Neill of Goldman Sachs coined the term BRIC to stand for Brazil, Russia, India and China – four large emerging economies that might together shape the world economy in the future. With the later addition of South Africa, they came to the agreement in 2015 to create a BRICS bank.
Fernando Barciela |At first sight, Telefonica’s third quarter and nine months to September results couldn’t be better. Between January and September, the company posted a 12% rise in consolidated revenues to 35.4 billion euros. Net income increased by a spectacular 69.6% to 46 billion euros in the same period.
In December 1985, Thomas Sargent spent some time in Brazil, giving speeches and talking to policymakers. Back home in January 1986, he published in the WSJ an Open Letter to the Brazilian Finance Minister: …When you have exhausted all of your opportunities to borrow, you will have to make one or more of unpleasant adjustments such as taxes rises, government expenditures cuts or default on some of you debt…
John Feffer | Latin America’s largest country once looked ascendant. Now it’s been laid low by widespread violence, structural racism, endemic corruption and external economic shocks.
Brazil’s financial markets are being hit by political turmoil, economic deterioration and external factors.
Pessimism over the latest data coming from these two developing countries could affect the recovery in Spain and Europe.