China






NavascuesChinaTC

De-stressing about Chinese equities

MADRID | They’ve been scaring us with an eventual China crash which would drag the world’s economy. And yet Daily Telegraph’s Roger Bootle insists there is no reason to panic here. The ratio of tradeable equities to GDP is running at just under 30%, while in most countries it exceeds 100%. See the New York Stock Exchange on the graph.


china flash PMI

China flash PMI falls to a 15 month low

HONG KONG | July 24, 2015 | Barclays | The Markit “flash” manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 48.2 in July, reaching a 15-month low (consensus: 49.7; Barclays: 49.7).  The weaker PMI supports our view that the economy is not on solid footing, and we look for a flat growth profile in H2.



china-inmobiliario

Chinese bubble trouble: halfway through?

LONDON | July 17, 2015 | UBS | Property activity corrected visibly in 2014 and H1 2015, with declining property starts and weaker construction dragging down China’s industrial sector and GDP growth.


Chinese stocks

Chinese equity markets: Shaken, but not too stirred

LONDON | July 15, 2015 | BNP Paribas | The fall in the Chinese equity markets is mainly a market correction phenomenon, the most important question now is how it will transmit to the real economy. Our view is that the transmission will be muted.