Banca March : The new tool called Aggregate EU started its work yesterday and will receive 12-month demand forecasts from June onwards from the different European gas suppliers that wish to participate. From 3 May, these will be aggregated and studied to provide a joint demand proposal that will be launched to the market in search of bids. Finally, on 17 May, the supply and demand matches will be published,…
Santander Corporate & Investment’s flash services PMIs released this morning will once again be a headache for the ECB, as they show an unexpectedly strong rebound in France at a delicate time of rallies (56.3, 53.5e, 53.9p). But also in Germany (55.7, 53.4e, 53.7p). And at a time when services inflation remains one of the real workhorses as our economists recalled after the release of the final March figure a…
Link Securities | The construction company OHLA has been awarded a contract in the Czech Republic valued at around €100 million to modernise the Brno North thermal power plant, one of the largest renewable energy projects announced this year in the country, Europa Press reported yesterday. The scope of the contract, awarded by the state-owned company Teplárny Brno, consists of modernising part of the plant for the combined production of…
Bankinter : March CPI stands at +10.1% in March (year-on-year) vs +9.8% estimated and +10.4% previous. The core rate is at +6.2% (year-on-year) vs +6.0% estimated and +6.2% previous. On the other hand, new home sales in London fell -39% in 1Q 2023 (year-on-year), according to real estate firm Molior London. They are at 10-year lows. Analysis team’s view: Bad news. Inflation eases, although less than expected in March. The…
Banca March : Investor and analyst confidence in Germany is deteriorating. The ZEW index fell more than expected in April with the reading of economic expectations at 4.1 from 13 and below the 15.6 expected. This suggests that the outlook for economic developments in the coming quarters is dimming after the deterioration in financial conditions in March. For its part, the current situation component of the ZEW index rebounded more…
Banca March : Negotiators from the European Parliament and the Council reached an agreement on Tuesday to approve the European Chip Act, which will aim to mobilise €43 billion of investment to double the weight of the European Union in the world production of this component. The agreement also broadens the type of facilities to be funded to include not only state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities but also those producing semiconductor manufacturing…
Técnicas Reunidas, FCC and the Turkish company Enka have been awarded a contract worth around 1,000 million euros for the construction of a liquefied gas regasification plant for Hanseatic Energy Hub in the port of Stade, in the Haburg region. This terminal will be built next to a plant of the chemical giant Dow Chemical to utilise its industrial heat. It will be erected at full speed, with the aim…
Bankinter: Investors’ confidence in economic activity improves, although it still remains in negative territory. The Sentix Index rises more than expected in April to -8.7 from -11.1 previously and -10.1 estimated. The improvement is driven by the Current Situation component (-4.3 from -9.3). The Expectations Component remains stable at -13. This is the sixth consecutive improvement in the Current Situation Component. On a monthly basis, Sentix surveys more than 1,300…
Deutsche Bank : The recent credit event in the US banking sector has caused considerable uncertainty about the outlook for policy rates. However, financial authorities have reacted strongly. In addition, the US labour market remains solid and inflation is becoming entrenched. In our view, this continues to justify a “higher for longer” official rate outlook. Although two-year US Treasury yields are falling from their cycle high, they remain, along with…
Link Securities | Bloomberg reported on Thursday that, according to the ECB’s monthly survey, inflation expectations for the next 12 months fell to 4.6% in February from 4.9% in January. In addition, inflation expectations for the next three years fell to 2.4% from 2.5% the previous month. In addition, according to the survey, economic growth expectations for the next 12 months continued to rise, from -1.2% to -0.9%. Meanwhile, 12-month…