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Markets, World economy 10th November 2017

The Oil Gap Between Brent And West Texas Is Not Entirely Down To The Recent Saudi Moves

The Crown Prince and de-facto ruler of the Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman, (MBS) launched an anti-corruption drive to safeguard the reform and modernization of the Saudi economy. Oil meanwhile looks to have broken out to the upside, which is very much a function of Brent Crude rather than West Texas Intermediate. The gap down started to open in August with Hurricane Harvey, not now with Saudi developments.

Next Fed Chair Jerome Powell's tricky position

World politics 8th November 2017

Anticipating Disaster: Jerome Powell In A Tricky Position

If Jerome Powell is “sold” on the idea that he has to restrain an economy that is “too vibrant”, the outcome will be “disaster”.

World economy 8th November 2017

China: Governor Zhou Counterbalance Of President Xi’s Grand Talk Of A “New Era”

Last week, People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Governor Zhou reaffirmed his concerns about the stability of the financial system in an article. Susan Joho, economist at Julius Baer points that he surprisingly spoke boldly of the risks of a Chinese Minsky moment.

View of economists are not updated for globalism

World economy 6th November 2017

Global Growth Will Be Lower For Longer

Andrew Sheng via Caixin | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has declared that the global economic recovery is broadening amidst buoyant markets. Its global financial stability report argued that there is a good chance for a sustained recovery and the eventual normalization of monetary policy.

Jerome Powell may let inflation drift a little higher

World economy 5th November 2017

Jerome Powell, A “Low-Interest-Rate Guy”

US President Donald Trump eventually nominated Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell as next chairman of the Federal Reserve. Governor Powell has never dissented from the policy actions of the FOMC during his five years as a voting member. However, it remains to be seen how he will make his own mark on the US central bank.

World economy 2nd November 2017

Is China Creating New Rules for Sovereign Debt Market?

Peng Qinqin, Wu Hongyuran and Dong Tongjian via Caixin | China’s first sale of sovereign dollar bonds since 2004 was met with a strong investor appetite, even absent a credit rating, suggesting confidence in the country’s economy, according to bond-market analysts.

World economy 1st November 2017

The Next Federal Reserve Chair: You Are Hired !!!

BBVA Research (Boyd Nash-Stacey/Nathaniel Karp) | The FOMC is poised to undergo a nontrivial change in leadership and composition with four new regional Fed members rotating into voting roles and with a potential change in leadership.

World economy 31st October 2017

Global Use Of Energy Would Have Grown 12% In 2016 Without Efficiency Improvements

The global use of energy would have grown 12% in 2016 without the efficiency improvements achieved since 2000, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

World economy 30th October 2017

A Cycle: Financial Income Vs The Real Economy

There is a huge increase in income and wealth for the richest 1%, and a continued decline in income and assets for the poorest 10%. Politically speaking, this is a bombshell.

World economy 27th October 2017

USA “unconventional” excesses

Pablo Pardo (Washington) | Why has the US continued to pump “unconventional” oil to such an extent that it seems almost certain that this will be the year when it beats its production record? It is also an example of the extent of the US economy’s madness with the Federal Reserve’s expansive monetary policy over the last 10 years.

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