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spain scenarios

Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 17th June 2016

Just 3 Things To Consider Before Investing In Spain

UBS | In this report, we focus on three pivotal questions that we consider crucial for investing in any security in Spain: First, what is the economic outlook for 2016/17, and what are the biggest economic policy challenges that the next government will face? Second, what are the likely scenarios for the outcome of the elections on 26 June? And third, what is the valuation and relative attractiveness of Spanish assets, how will asset markets react to different election outcomes, and what is or is not priced in?

Luis de Guindos

Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 13th June 2016

Spain Elections: Who Won The Economic Debate?

Economic forerunners from the four Spanish leading parties engaged themselves in a confusing TV debate on Sunday night. The moderator was much to blame as she hardly clarified the key policy issues, although the participants also proved unable to put forward a coherent analysis of what is at stake in these elections.

high yield credit

World economy 31st May 2016

The Stakes Run High In June

June will be a breathtaking month. The outcome of the British referendum could spark shock waves, causing financial assets to plummet everywhere should the Leave camp win. France could be plunged into disarray as the bitter response to the rather mild labour market reform creates further turmoil and widespread strikes.

King Felipe VI

Spanish economy 24th May 2016

Political Uncertainty In Spain Is Here To Stay For Some Time Longer

Julius Baer Research | The potentially shortest Spanish legislature is bound to come to an end on 26 June 2016 when Spain will elect a new parliament for the second time within six months. Since the politicians have failed to form a new government after the last general election in December 2015, King Felipe VI has dissolved the parliament and called for new elections.

candidates

Spanish economy 16th May 2016

The Melancholy Of Two Wasted Years

Spain depends on Europe, but in a rather odd way, because Europe is a carcass without a head and without any initiative. Europe has left us in doubt over our deficit because we were in an electoral period. And this brutal wear and tear, which has not been good for us, on the contrary, has not ended. After June 27, whatever happens, the government will be even weaker, whichever it is.

spain elections

Spanish economy 4th May 2016

Spain Returns To The Polls: Fiscal Consolidation, Catalonia Key Challenges

AXA IM | Four months after the elections, negotiations to form a government officially failed and new elections will be organised on 26 June. However, it remains very unclear that their outcome will be more favourable, though probably conducive to a government as a third round of elections would be a tremendous failure. Fiscal consolidation and Catalonia’s independence will be top priorities.

rajoy sanchez

Spanish economy 29th April 2016

Spain Pushes For Fresh Elections

The Spanish Parliament’s Chairman, Mr. López, has bitterly announced that failure to guarantee a coalition government will involve new elections in late June, warning of citizens deep frustration with parties’ inability to reach an agreement. But resorting to fresh elections seems a better prospect than forming a government which is hostage to the extremist policies of the Podemos movement.

candidates

In Europe 4th February 2016

Spain’s Next Government Will Face Problems With Brussels

For the last few months, the European Commission has been warning Spain that it will certainly not comply with its public deficit targets for 2015 and 2016. Many analysts are in agreement with this, while Economy Minister Luis de Guindos rejects it. This is the panorama facing the new Spanish government which, for the moment, King Felipe VI has asked socialist leader Pedro Sanchez to form.

Mariano

Spanish economy 22nd December 2015

Political uncertainty unlikely to hurt the Spanish economy

Last Sunday’s electoral results in Spain have cast a gloomy outlook on prospects for securing a stable government. Markets were deeply disappointed as their bet for a centre-right coalition melted down. Ciudadanos performed worse than expected while Partido Popular scored a win but failed to secure enough support.