Mexico

Mexico's elections to be held on 1 July

Mexico’s Elections: The Implications Of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador Becoming Next Leader

Mexicans go to the polls on 1 July. Some 3,400 elected positions are at stake (including the President, deputies senators, and gubernatorial elections), potentially reshaping the country’s political landscape.  AXA IM analysts expect that Andrès Manuel Lopez Obrador, also known as AMLO, will be victorious and become the next President and that his coalition Called MORENA) will obtain a small majority in both chambers of the Congress.



Trump

Will Trump set his house on fire?

The US Congress used to bully the White House by threatening to put a lid on public expenditure, forcing the administration to face failure. Mr Trump has turned the rules of the game upside down by menacing that he will do this should Congress fail to fund the Mexican wall.



Angela Merkel visiting Latin America

Merkel’s Journey to Global Leadership Crosses Latin America

Emmanuel Gomez Farias Mata and Ivan Farias Pelcastre | Donald Trump’s populist approach led political commentators on both sides of the Atlantic to argue that the US had abandoned its position at the forefront of global politics. Those same commentators quickly turned their heads to Germany as the country that can — and seems willing to — lead the industrialized, liberal democracies into the 21st century, and pronounced German Chancellor Angela Merkel as the new “leader of the free world.”


Mexico's automotive potential

Mexico: the potential of its automotive powerhouse

Mexico is an automotive powerhouse in its own right: it is fourth in the rankings of automobile exporters, coming immediately after the top three players, Germany, Japan and the US.  And there are important indirect public advantages which an automotive manufacturere can benefit from if it decides to set up operations there.


Trump right about German trade

Trump is Right about Germany, for the Wrong Reasons

Francesco Saraceno | I share with Donald Trump the belief that Germany is harming the world economy. (Ok, ok, it is not bad Germany, it is bad German trade. ). Yet, I think it is worth pointing out something trivial that is not emphasized enough. Trump is right about Germany, but for the wrong reasons. The problem is not the number of German cars circulating in the US, but the number of American cars not circulating in Germany.


IMF' sreport on Mexican Economy

Mexican Economy: Problems In The Neighbourhood

The IMF’s last report on Mexican Economy praises the quality of the general framework of its economic policy and its execution, encourages maintaining the principles of fiscal consolidation with the aim of keeping debt under control – the federal budget normally closes in the red – and reiterates the importance of transforming PEMEX into a profitable organisation.


NAFTA negotiations

After NAFTA: New Trade Opportunities for Mexico

Daniel Kapellmann | Whereas it took some 10 years to negotiate and enforce a mechanism to strengthen commercial bonds between Canada, the United States and Mexico, today, after 23 years in existence, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) may be overrun in just a couple of months.