HONG KONG | June 17, 2015 | BBVA Research | Chinese ODI flows in 2013 may have been overstated due to the presence of round tripping, challenging previously held assumptions that the country is close to becoming a net exporter of FDI.
BEIJING | June 16, 2015 | By Yu Hairong and Wang Liwei via Caixin | Economists are divided over whether deflation in China is endangering the economy or whether it is even a problem.
India is experiencing an economic surge after Prime Minister Narendra Modi entered office in 2014. Investors see India as a growth opportunity. Last year, capital expenditure projects attracted $23 billion of foreign investment. Yet the country’s potential is clouded by environmental problems, which have been caused by pollution.
As Myanmar opens up after decades of isolation, cheap labor is drawing a rush of garment manufacturers to the former pariah state.
June 6, 2015 | UBS | Turkey holds general elections tomorrow. In our view there are two key uncertainties: 1) whether HDP, the Kurdish Party, will be able to cross the 10% hurdle required to qualify for parliament, thereby securing 55-60 seats mainly at the expense of the ruling AKP 2) whether the AKP is able to secure enough seats (276) to form a single-party government. Market seems to be pricing in the maintenance of status quo.
BEIJING | June 2, 2015 | By Xu Gao via Caixin | Unless obstacles blocking the flow of capital to the real economy are cleared, the financial market will continue to be trapped.
MADRID | May 29, 2015 | By Ana Fuentes | German bund futures spiked higher on Friday after traders cited comments by IMF’s Christine Lagarde to the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung that a Greek exit from the euro zone was a possibility. As Ms Lagarde’s words heated the debate worldwide, the IMF insisted the German paper mistranslated her as too hawkish on Grexit. The print version of the interview published today is slightly different (see screenshots above).
May 25, 2015 | BNP Paribas | Data highlights that there is more pain to come for Drillers for the foreseeable future…and the opportunity for further offshore deflation for E&Ps and Majors.
May 22, 2015 | UBS | Why has real GDP growth been surprisingly weak compared to job gains? Why do some economists expect only slowly-trending GDP expansion in the coming years? Why has the unemployment rate fallen more often than expected?
May 21, 2015 | By UBS analysts | The March FOMC statement had disposed of patience with regard to the funds rate, clearly preparing for the possibility or even likelihood of raising rates in June. But Q1 growth slowed more than expected, and the FOMC became more cautious in its April statement.